Elektabilitiy Ahok Demo Drops After 4 November

Elektabilitas petahana Basuki Purnama Tjahaja deteriorated after 4 November demo. Indonesian Survey Circle released the findings of the latest poll of 440 respondents for five days from October 31 to November 5.

As a result, elektabilitas Ahok and Djarot Saiful Hidayat only 24.6 percent. Down compared to the October survey 31.4 percent and 49.1 percent July survey. "One factor is certainly the case of alleged defamation of religion," said LSI researcher Adjie Alfaraby, Thursday, November 10, 2016.

However, elektabilitas-Djarot Ahok pair is still superior to the other two couples. Harimurti Agus Yudhoyono and Sylviana Murni was second with 20.9 percent elektabilitas.
While the pair Anies Baswedan-Uno Uno at 20 percent. While respondents do not determine the choice was 34.5 percent.

Uniquely, said Adjie, demo post November 4 Ahok those who choose it now turned into alias swing voters undecided. In the October survey, the number of swing voters is 28.2 percent.

While elektabilitas Agus-Sylviana and Anies-Uno is still stagnant. "It shows the voters in Jakarta, especially those who choose Ahok it rationally. They would not be affected until at least the issue of defamation of religion is no legal certainty from the police," said Adjie.

Of the 440 respondents, 65.7 percent said Ahok statement on Al-Maidah verse 51 is the defamation of religion. A total of 13.5 percent said not blasphemy, while the remainder did not know. Of the same respondents, 63.7 percent ask Ahok prosecuted.

A massive demonstration on November 4th, drawing attention throughout the country. The demonstrators from various Muslim organizations demanded the police to process up to fully investigate cases of blasphemy against Ahok are now handled Criminal Investigation Police Headquarters.

For other categories, said Adjie, Ahok still ahead among male voters while Agus among women voters. Agus and Anies superiority among Muslim voters and Ahok won among non-Muslim voters.

This poll was held LSI for six days from October 31 to 5 November by way of face to face interviews. At that time, the issue of defamation of religion is being crowded-crowded talked to a peak on November 4th, when a massive demonstration a group of Muslims took to the streets urging Ahok immediately prosecuted.